The U.S. economy added 199,000 jobs in November, a number that supports current thinking that we are in for a ‘soft landing’ instead of a recession in early 2024. The unemployment rate slipped by 0.1% to 3.7%, and the Labor Department says the biggest job gains came in health care and government, with some upside to manufacturing after UAW workers signed a contract and returned to work for General Motors, Ford Motor Company and Stellantis. Employment in retail sales declined.

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Political pundits and experts are sounding the alarm that ex-President Trump is planning a much more authoritarian second term if he wins the November 2024 presidential election. The warnings bubbled up to full brew early in the week as ex-Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) went on a media tour to promote her new book, Oath and Honor: A Memoir and a Warning

After Cheney appeared on Anderson Cooper 360, CNN followed-up with the comments of Trump’s former national security advisor turned critic John Bolton, who said checks and balances of Congress and the courts would keep the ex- and potentially future president’s authoritarianism in-check. When Trump himself appeared for a Fox News town hall and Sean Hannity asked if he would be a dictator, Trump replied, “Only on the first day.” This was after Hannity gave Trump every possible opportunity to claim he would only back the Constitution and preserve American democracy. 

On Friday, David Graham, editor-in-chief of The Atlantic talked about the magazine’s January 2024 issue, which is filled with essays by various writers and journalists warning that Trump would be a dictator and kill American democracy if he becomes president again. But Graham admitted to NPR’s Steve Inskeep on Morning Edition that the magazine – whether print or online – will not reach many of the voters the January issue most needs to convince.

So here’s your chance to discuss whether warnings of a second Trump administration’s authoritarianism are reasonable or overblown. If you lean conservative – whether pro-MAGA or never-Trump or anywhere between or near this spectrum – please enter your civil, fact-based opinions on the matter in the Comment section in this column, or email editors@thehustings.news and indicate you are conservative in the subject line. 

If you lean left, please see the left column.

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Cameo is an online video platform with which you can pay a celebrity – “B”, “C”, “F” to “Z” – to send a video greeting to a friend or family. Former Rep. George Santos (R-NY) already is drawing fees four times what he earned just after he was expelled last week, and Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) is buying. Fetterman paid Santos $343 to punk Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ), according to Business Insider.

“I thought my ethically-challenged colleague @BobMenendezNJ could use some encouragement given his substantial legal problems,” Fetterman said of the U.S. senator charged with bribery, posting on X. “So I approached a seasoned expert on the matter to give ‘Bobby from Jersey’ some advice.”

Santos’ Cameo greeting to Menendez: “Hey Bobby … Look, I don’t need to tell you, but these people want to kick you out and make you run away – you make them put up or shut up. You stand your ground, sir.”

The Hill figures Santos doesn’t know who Menendez is, from this correspondence back to Fetterman: “Bobby from Jersey. I love this! I wish I knew the Bobby in question! LOL.”

Biggest surprise is that the congressman who tried to make a fashion statement on Capitol Hill still uses “LOL.”

•••

Comment on the center section in this column or the one on the right. Or, email us at editors@thehustings.news and indicate in the subject line whether you lean left or right.

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(Political animals eagerly await Oath and Honor: A Memoir and a Warning, by former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) in bookstores next week. Spoiler alert: the warning has to do with Donald J. Trump’s third run for president. Scroll down for details.)]

FRIDAY 12/8/23

Hunter Biden Indicted – A grand jury for the Central District of California has indicted the president’s son, Hunter Biden, on nine federal counts of evading taxes on millions of dollars he was paid for his work for foreign countries. Special counsel David C. Weiss, who first began investigating the younger Biden five years ago as the Trump administration-appointed U.S. attorney for Delaware, accuses Biden of engaging “in a four-year scheme to not pay at least $1.4 million in self-assessed federal taxes he owed” between 2016 and 2019, The New York Times reports. 

In the 56-page indictment, Hunter Biden is charged with three counts each of:

Evasion of tax assessment.

Failure to file and pay taxes.

Filing a fake or fraudulent tax return.

The indictment accuses the president’s son of spending money on sex clubs, escorts, a rented Lamborghini and other extravagances rather than pay federal taxes (per CNN).

Last August, Biden was “on the verge” of a plea deal over separate charges stemming from his failure to report his drug use when he purchased a handgun in 2018. 

About Weiss: Despite Weiss' Republican bone fides as a Trump-appointed U.S. attorney, pundits and commentators from Fox News to its right have tried to paint the special counsel as member of a “weaponized” Justice Department that tried to cover up Hunter Biden’s alleged misdeeds.

Upshot: Of course, Trump supporters see these accusations as a diversion from the former president’s civil and three criminal ongoing cases. As charges against Hunter Biden fester through the presidential election season (and as House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) threatens an impeachment inquiry into Joe Biden) Democratic Party leaders could see this as an opportunity to move on to other potential presidential candidates.   

--TL

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THURSDAY 12/7/23

Unfunding Ukraine? – There is growing concern that Congress could break for the holidays without an agreement over funding for Ukraine, which Republicans want to tie to U.S. border security. Senate Republicans “insist” their decision Wednesday to block Biden’s massive foreign aid package will force a “reset” of the slow-moving negotiations, and are “openly deriding” House colleagues’ posture on the package, Punchbowl News reports.

Sen. Christopher Murphy (D-CT), lead Democratic negotiator: “They have to figure out whether they want to negotiate or whether they want to make ‘take-it-or-leave-it’ demands.”

Sen. James Lankford (R-OK), said it was a “positive sign” that Biden is willing to make “significant compromises” in order to get approval for funding for Ukraine’s fight to push out Russia.

--TL

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WEDNESDAY 12/6/23

McCarthy Out of the House -- Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), speaker of the House from January to October, announced Wednesday in an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal he will retire his seat at the end of this year. "I'm leaving the House but not the fight," he writes. With George Santos out, this whittles down the Republican House majority to just two members.

•••

Peril Over Ukraine – Republican Senators are about to block $110.5 billion in emergency aid to Ukraine unless Democrats agree to a strict clampdown on migration at the U.S.-Mexico border.  

The threat came Tuesday after a classified Senate briefing that devolved into a shouting match that “severely dimmed prospects for a bipartisan agreement,” The New York Times reports.

“We are about to abandon Ukraine,” said Sen. Christopher Murphy (D-CT). “When Vladimir Putin marches into NATO territory, they will rue the day they decided to play politics with the future of Ukraine’s security.”

Then there’s this from Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX): “They want tens of billions of dollars to help our friends and allies overseas, but they’re not willing to prevent a potential crisis at the border. The Biden administration just does not seem to care.”

•••

Tuberville Relents, Mostly – Promotions of four-star generals are still out, as far as Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) is concerned. But under threat of a Senate rule change backed by most Republicans as well as Democrats, Tuberville said he is “not going to hold the promotions of these people any longer,” (The Guardian), And so the Senate on Tuesday approved about 425 military promotions Trump acolyte Tuberville had held up for most of the year, over his opposition to a Pentagon abortion policy. 

--TL

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TUESDAY 12/5/23

SCOTUS Divided Over Purdue? – Supreme Court justices appeared divided over the question of whether Purdue Pharma’s bankruptcy proceedings should be halted in order to expose the Sackler family to civil liability for marketing OxyContin, according to SCOTUSblog. As its bankruptcy agreement stands, the Sacklers are shielded from liability pending $6 billion in payment to creditors and victims of the opioid epidemic. Plaintiffs in Harrington v. Purdue Pharma believe the Sackler family would get off to easily if the bankruptcy is allowed to proceed, though many advocates for the victims fear revocation of the bankruptcy proceeding would drag out compensation far too long.

--TL

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MONDAY 12/4/23

Cheney’s Warning – Washington has been obsessed with former Wyoming Republican Rep. Liz Cheney’s book due for release next week, Oath and Honor: A Memoir and a Warning since CNN reported excerpts last week. In it, Cheney accuses Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) of “cowardice” in his unwillingness to stand up to ex-President Trump, according to the excerpts. She outlines current Speaker Mike Johson’s (R-LA) role in filing an amicus brief in Texas urging the U.S. Supreme Court to set aside the Electoral College in several states Biden won. 

This was when Johnson was “aggressively” gathering signatures from his Republican colleagues, and Cheney overheard a congressman say, in exasperation, “The things we do for the ‘Orange Jesus.’” 

“Mike played a particularly destructive role,” Cheney told NPR’s Leila Fadel on Morning Edition Monday. She disputes those who say our institutions, traditions and separation of powers could control Donald J. Trump if he wins the 2024 election, noting a recent op-ed in The Wall Street Journal. “No, you can’t count on those institutions to restrict him,” she said. 

Cheney questioned Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s (R-AL) destructive holds on key Pentagon promotions.

Is he “holding the positions open so Donald Trump can fill them? What’s he doing?”

Fadel asked about the future of the Republican Party and American conservatism. 

“I think the Republican Party as it exists today is dangerous to the country,” Cheney said. She does not believe the GOP, or a new truly conservative party, can be built in time for the 2024 elections.

“The most important thing to do now is stop Donald Trump,” she said. Would the vice chair of last year’s House Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol run for president in 2024?

“I haven’t … ruled it out. I look at it very much through the lens of stopping Donald Trump. It needs to be everybody’s priority.”

•••

Christie Out? – Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie as of Sunday did not know whether he would qualify for Wednesday’s GOP presidential candidate debate, 8 p.m. Eastern on News Nation, but he does plan to stay in the race to defeat Donald J. Trump, at least through next summer’s Republican Party convention in Milwaukee. CBS News’ Margaret Brennan asked Christie on Face the Nation Sunday whether he should step down from the primary race to consolidate the opposition. 

“This field is already consolidated,” he replied, “more than any non-incumbent field in this century.”

•••

Also on Sunday – Last Friday, The New York Times reported that Israeli intelligence officials were warned of a Hamas attack on the country about a year before October 7. On Sunday, NBC News’ Kristin Welker asked White House national security spokesman John Kirby on Meet the Press Sunday whether U.S. intelligence also was tipped off. 

“The intelligence community has indicated that they did not have access to this document,” Kirby responded.

“Should they have?” Welker asked. 

“Intelligence is a mosaic,” Kirby replied. “Sometimes you can piece these together. Sometimes pieces of the puzzle are missing.”

No confidence in Austin: Meanwhile, on CNN’s State of the Union, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told Dana Bash he has lost all confidence in Lloyd Austin over remarks made by the defense secretary that Israel’s bombardment of the Gaza Strip would inflame more Palestinians. 

“He’s naïve. I’ve just lost all confidence in this guy.” Graham said. “They’re already inflamed … Israel is not just fighting Hamas, but all infrastructure around Hamas.”

--Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

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COMMENTS: editors@thehustings.news

Perhaps the real breakthrough in the News Nation GOP presidential candidates’ debate in Tuscaloosa Wednesday night was that former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie got a smattering of applause and not boos when “telling the truth” about Donald J. Trump.  It might have helped that much of the crowd consisted of University of Alabama students.

“There is no mystery to what he wants to do,” Christie said. … “Do I think he was kidding when he said he was a dictator? … He will only do his own retribution. He does not care for the American people.” (This last sentence got some booing on top of applause.)

“The problem with the three candidates,” Christie said of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, “they’re afraid to offend” Trump.

Indeed Ramaswamy went so far as to repeat various MAGAesque conspiracy theories, including that “Deep State” operatives sparked the January 6th Capitol insurrection.

•••

Call Them Deacon Blues

Wednesday there will be four GOP presidential candidates taking the stage at the University of Alabama at Tuscaloosa’s Moody Music Hall: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, the AP reports. Former President Trump will again sit this one out.

To qualify, the candidates were required to have at least 6% of the vote in two national polls, or 6% in one poll plus two polls from early voting states Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada or South Carolina. The polls must be approved by the Republican National Committee.

Earlier Monday, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum suspended his GOP presidential campaign, NPR reports. Burgum was a successful businessman and investor before he was elected governor who spent millions of dollars on his Quixotic campaign.

•••

New to this site? -- See what The Hustings can do for civil discourse. Click on these links for examples of our debates and reader comment from the last couple of years: <https://thehustings.news/page/33/>

<https://thehustings.news/page/35/>

<https://thehustings.news/page/37/>

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New to this site? -- See what The Hustings can do for civil discourse. Click on these links for examples of our debates and reader comment from the last couple of years: https://thehustings.news/page/33/

https://thehustings.news/page/35/

https://thehustings.news/page/37/

Citizen pundits are invited to comment on news of the day or raging issues, for posting in this column or the column on the right. If you lean left, simply go to the Comments line on this page, or email editors@thehustings.news and indicate in the subject line that you are “leaning center-left,” “liberal,” “progressive,” “hard-left” or similar adjective. 

If you lean right, simply go to the Comments line by clicking on the headline on the other side of this page, or email editors@thehustings.news and indicate in the subject line that you are “leaning center-right,” “conservative,” “right-wing” or “MAGA” or similar adjective.

Your comments will appear in the appropriate column so long as you remain civil, avoid personal shots and adhere to facts.

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FRIDAY 12/1/23

(Nobel Peace Prize winner ... War criminal? Ultimate diplomat? Henry Kissinger, who consulted 12 Republican and Democratic presidents and was both national security advisor and secretary of state for Presidents Nixon and Ford, has died at 100. He was the model for the title character in Stanley Kubrick’s Dr. Strangelove, or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb and is famous for saying, “Power is the ultimate aphrodisiac.”)

UPDATE: Santos Expelled -- On the third attempt in six months, Rep. George Santos (R-NY) was expelled from Congress by a vote of 311-114-2 (per The Hill). A two-thirds majority was required. Almost all House Democrats and 105 Republicans voted for Santos' removal.

•••

Cease-Fire Expires, War Restarts – After seven days, the truce between Israel and Hamas has expired, NPR’s Morning Editionreports, with both sides blaming each other for resuming attacks. The Qatari government, central to the ceasefire that commenced a week ago, is trying to negotiate another truce with little hope for success.

Israel was warned: The New York Times has reviewed a translated plan called “Jericho Wall” that outlines Hamas’ October 7 attack it reports Israeli officials saw a year ago. Israel concluded the plan, which detailed the attack point-by-point couldn’t be carried out. The document was circulated widely among Israeli military officials, but experts determined the attack as outlined “was beyond Hamas’ capabilities …” It was unclear, the NYT report says, whether Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or other top leaders saw the report.

•••

Santos Sunk? – The House on Friday will vote on whether to remove Rep. George Santos (R-NY) from Congress, Roll Call reports. This will be the House’s third attempt for his expulsion. 

“I will be filing a slew of complaints in the coming hours of today and tomorrow to make sure that we are keeping the playing field even,” Santos said, in a Thursday press conference in front of the Capitol. 

Santos faces a slew of charges in a 23-count criminal indictment, including:

A fraudulent political contribution solicitation scheme.

Unemployment insurance fraud.

Filing false disclosure statements with the House.

Filing fraudulent fundraising reports.

Charging donors credit cards without permission.

In addition, a House ethics panel report says Santos used campaign funds on personal expenses.

--TL

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THURSDAY 11/30/23

Another Day of Cease Fire – Secretary of State Antony Blinken has returned to Tel Aviv to urge extension of the pause in fighting as Israel and Hamas extend their cease-fire for a seventh day, NPR’s Morning Edition reports. Since Friday, 210 Palestinians, 73 Israelis and 24 foreign nationals have been released, according to The Washington Post, including an American-Israeli mother who was freed Wednesday. An estimated 159 hostages remain in the Gaza Strip.

So Long Santos, Today? – The “Mary Magdalen of the United States Congress,” Rep. George Santos (R-NY) faces a likely expulsion vote Thursday. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), has “reservations” however, over removing a Congress member who has not yet been convicted of a crime, Roll Call notes.

--Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

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COMMENTS: editors@thehustings.news

Donald J. Trump called Jamie Dimon “overrated” in a typically over-capitalized post on his Truth Social outlet Thursday, The Hillreports, over the JP Morgan Chase CEO’s support for former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley’s run for the GOP presidential nomination. 

Following Americans for Prosperity’s endorsement of Haley, who also was UN ambassador in the Trump administration, Dimon said Democrats should help her candidacy, saying she would be “better than Trump.”

“Highly overrated globalist Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP MORGAN, is quietly pushing another non-MAGA person,” Trump posted. “I’ve never been a big fan of Jamie Dimon, but had to live with this guy when he came begging to the White House.”

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After years of scrutiny and attacks by friends of Donald J. Trump and the likes of Fox News ranting about "Hunter Biden's laptop," the president's son is "striking back", Politico reports. Over the past three months, Biden the younger has filed "a barrage" of lawsuits and has challenged his indictment on gun charges. On November 15, Biden asked a judge to subpoena former President Trump and members of his Justice Department, claiming they applied political pressure for the indictment, issued by a Delaware grand jury earlier this year.

Hunter Biden's strategy has split Democratic operatives, Politico says, between those who believe it is better to downplay his legal issues and keep it as quiet as possible and those who believe the "quieter" strategy is old, 1990's political thinking.

"The counteroffensive will play out in courtrooms and in public just as his father ramps up his reelection campaign," the website notes.

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Talk to Us

Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo announced on X Monday that she is leaving X, because it has become a “weapon of mass destruction of our democracies” in recent years, Politico reports. Without naming X’s owner, she pointed to Elon Musk for changes he made to the site since purchasing it outright in October 2022, largely removing its guardrails.

“This platform and its owner act deliberately to exacerbate tensions and conflicts,” Hidalgo wrote of the social media site formerly known as Twitter and it has become “a vast worldwide sewer.”

As a reminder: (Self-promotion alert.) The Hustings is here to offer citizens and politicians alike, from along the political spectrum, to discuss important issues while respecting facts and each other. If you are looking for a safe space to air your political and policy beliefs, email editors@thehustings.news and indicate whether you consider yourself “liberal” or “conservative” in the subject line, or send us a note in the appropriate column – left or right. We will review each comment before posting to assure civility is maintained.

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Elon Musk met with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in his Knesset office Monday, after the owner of X tweeted anti-semitic remarks that resulted in an exodus from the social media platform by key blue-chip advertisers.  (Israeli government photo.)

WEDNESDAY 11/29/23

So Long, Santos -- A Politico whip count says House Republicans have the votes to expel Rep. George Santos (R-NY) from Congress. According to the whip count, 75 Republicans say they plan to vote to oust him, while another dozen say they are likely to support his removal. A two-thirds vote is required for Santos' expulsion, which is expected before the end of the week.

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TUESDAY 11/29/23

On Capitol Hill – An Israeli major general quietly visited Capitol Hill Monday evening to reassure Senate Democrats who have been critical of the country’s military campaign against Hamas, Punchbowl News reports. Democratic senators were to discuss whether to add conditions to U.S. aid to Israel during their weekly caucus lunch Tuesday. The major general met with the Democrats in the LBJ Room just off the Senate floor. 

Meanwhile, in Tel Aviv: X owner Elon Musk Monday toured an Israeli kibbutz attacked by Hamas on October 7, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as his guide, The Hill reports. Musk’s social media platform has been losing advertisers since he tweeted antisemitic remarks earlier this month. He was shown a residence where a Sha’ar Ha Negev Regional Council chair was killed the morning of the attacks during an exchange of gunfire.

--TL

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MONDAY 11/27/23

UPDATE: Israel and Hamas have agreed to a two-day extension of their cease-fire past Monday's deadline, in a deal announced on X by Majid Al Ansary, spokesman for the Qatari Foreign Ministry. the AP reports. Hamas will further exchange militants it is holding for Palestinians being held by Israel. A fourth swap was expected late Monday.

Hope for Extended Truce – Both Hamas and Israel have signaled they might extend the humanitarian pause begun 7 a.m. last Friday local time and due to end Monday, though nobody is talking about President Biden’s hope the truce will turn into a full ceasefire just yet, as his party remains split between support for Israel and for the Palestinians.

Hamas said in a statement it is “seeking to extend the truce after the end of the four-day period,” as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “was open to the idea of extending the pause by 24 hours for every 10 hostages released,” according to NPR’s Morning Edition. In return, Israel would release up to 150 Palestinians, Netanyahu said.

The White House says Biden is working with Qatar, which brokered the four-day truce scheduled to end Monday with other negotiators, Semafor reports. Nine Americans remain missing and are presumed to be held by Hamas, which on Sunday released Abigail Eden, who spent her fourth birthday held by the group. Both of Eden’s parents were killed in the October 7 Hamas attack that sparked the fighting. 

•••

Senate Pushes Vote on Funding Ukraine, Israel – Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) plans to hold a vote as early as December 4 -- next week -- on the White House’s request for billions of dollars of aid to Ukraine and Israel, Politico reports. But Schumer’s announcement Sunday puts pressure on the Senate to come up with a border security deal to assure the necessary support by the chamber’s Republicans. 

•••

Up on the Hill – The Senate was scheduled to be in session Monday, November 27. Both the Senate and House will be in session Tuesday through Friday, and Monday through Thursday December 4-7 and 11-14. The Senate only is in session December 8 and December 15, before holiday break through the end of the year.

--Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

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COMMENTS: editors@thehustings.news

UPDATE: The political arm of Americans for Prosperity, the association formed by the Koch Brothers, "will throw its money and influence behind" former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, CNN Politics reports Tuesday. Americans for Prosperity Action "could dramatically reshape the Republican field" about seven weeks before the Iowa Caucuses, CNN says.

GOP presidential hopeful Nikki Haley’s upward poll numbers still have a long way to go to catch the “presumed” shoo-in, Donald J. Trump, but big money from traditional Republican donors is pushing her forward. A group of chief executives, hedge fund managers and corporate deal makers from both parties have begun to circle the wagons around the former South Carolina governor and UN ambassador to Trump, “in some cases, digging deeper into their pockets to help her,” The New York Times reports. In late October, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon joined the fold, according to the Times’ Sunday story, telling Haley in a phone call he was “impressed by Ms. Haley’s knowledge of policy details and her open-minded approach to complex issues” raised in the GOP’s debates. 

In the face of the hardline authoritarian-Trumpian stance of the House Freedom Caucus and fellow presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, Haley supports continued military aid to Ukraine in its defense against Russia, as well as to Israel. She is anti-abortion but opposes any bill that would outlaw it nationally. 

Meanwhile, pundits of every stripe already have called the GOP presidential race for Trump and point to polls showing the former president leading Joe Biden in key battleground states. A small minority of pundits say it is way too early to pay any attention to the polls, and apparently the business/finance crowd that used to lead the GOP agree. The recent flurry of support for Haley comes in addition to the Koch political machine’s effort to make sure anybody but Trump wins the party’s presidential nomination next summer. 

Early this year, Emily Seidel, CEO of the Koch Brothers’ Americans for Prosperity sent a memo to staffers and activists declaring the group part of the never-Trump effort for 2024, Time magazine reported last February.

Why this matters: The “moderate” wing of the GOP, painted as RINOs (“Republicans In Name Only”) by Trump supporters have been trying to claw back the party since 2017 or so. But the MAGA wing, bolstered by Rep. Mike Johnson’s (R-LA) election as House speaker, have managed to keep Trump in the lead by far even after he told his rally crowds he would use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies.

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One week after Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) announced he would not run for another term next year, he indicated he may be ready to run for president as a third-party “moderate.”

“I would do anything I can to help my country, and you’re saying, ‘Does that mean that you would consider it?’” he told NBC News Meet the Press moderator Kristin Welker. “Absolutely. … Every American should consider it if they’re in a position to help save the country.”

Manchin said he would first explore whether there is an appetite for a moderate candidate like him.

Conventional Wisdom says Manchin would spoil President Biden’s re-election campaign and hand the White House keys back to Donald J. Trump. Independent candidate Ross Perot had the most success among third party candidates in recent years, capturing 18.9% of the 1992 election but zero Electoral College votes. 

But with recent polls showing Trump ahead of Biden for 2024, a Manchin candidacy could conceivably capture a sufficient percentage of independent voters leaning toward Trump. With low favorability ratings for Biden, 80, and Trump, 77, Manchin, 76, might believe he has at least as much a chance as Teddy Roosevelt did in 1912, when he captured six Electoral College votes. Or, he may have an even better chance of success if Trump wins the GOP nomination next year while mired in 91 indictments among four court cases.

____________________________________________

Who are Biden's Potential Spoilers?

Democratic operatives seem fairly unphased by Rep. Dean Phillips’ (D-MN) challenger to President Biden for the party’s 2024 presidential nomination, though anytime someone challenges a Democratic incumbent, it seems mandatory to recall how Sen. Ted Kennedy probably “spoiled” President Jimmy Carter’s 1980 bid for re-election. 

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) is another story, even if he’s far from declaring. The bigger threat is the non-partisan non-profit with which he is connected, No Labels. The group says it simply wants to provide voters with a middle-of-the road alternative, but it has been threatening to float a presidential candidate’s name. It’s hard to imagine how any group self-described as “middle-of-the-road” would steal any significant number of votes from Donald J. Trump.

But wait, there’s more: Former Green Party candidate Jill Stein, known for siphoning off enough votes from Hilary Clinton in four swing states, to help Trump’s Electoral College win in 2016, is running as an independent this time. Make of that what you will.

Cornel West has been described as a narcissistic curmudgeon while being dismissed by academics as an intellectual has-been, according to New York magazine, so of course he has nothing better to do than run for president (as an independent) and take his share of votes from Biden. 

Finally, self-help professional Marianne Williamson didn’t take many votes from Biden in ’20, so why should she be expected to steal many this time? 

Your thoughts … on the matters within always are very welcome. Would you vote for any of the above spoilers? Please post your comments in the appropriate section below or email editors@thehustings.news and please indicate your political leanings (left/right, Democratic/Republican, libersl/conservative, etc.) in the subject line.

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THANKSGIVING RECESS 2023

The Consumer Price Index slipped by half a point in October, to 3.2%. It’s a nice drop from September’s 3.7%, but still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Month-over-month prices were flat at 0%, though that was led by gas prices, which fell 5%, with energy off by 2.5%. Food, and food from home, was up 0.3%. Food away from home was up 0.4%. That other basic necessity, shelter, was up 0.3%.

Israel to Hold Gaza – Israel will have to occupy and control Gaza for the foreseeable future to assure Hamas’ authority there is not replaced by another Hamas-like group, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told NPR. 

“Once we defeat Hamas, we need to make sure there’s no new Hamas,” Netanyahu told Morning Edition’s Steve Inskeep on its Friday broadcast. “No resurgence of terrorism. The only force that is able to secure that is Israel.”

Netanyahu described the Al Shifa hospital in Gaza which the Israeli Defense Force has raided for days as a “command center” for Hamas; “a lot of terrorists there, they fled as our forces approached the hospital, and happily we didn’t have to have a firefight with anyone.”

Gaza health authorities and Shifa directors have denied assertions by Israel and the United States that the hospital is hiding an elaborate tunnel system and have invited international inspection (Reuters).

The IDF has let reporters see a stairway leading under the hospital, but not the alleged tunnel system. Netanyahu said the IDF has found “a lot of weapons … a lot,” as well as ammunition and bombs underneath.

•••

So Long, Santos? – Rep. George Santos (R-NY) is “in real jeopardy of being expelled,” says Punchbowl News, after Thursday’s House Ethics Committee report sent to the Justice Department that says the freshman congressman diverted tens of thousands of dollars from his campaign fund for personal use, secretly funneled more than $176,000 from it to a company he secretly controlled and falsified his financial disclosures and campaign reports. 

On Thursday, Santos issued a statement with Trumpy language, accusing the Ethics Committee of a “disgusting political smear,” and announced a November 30 press conference on the Capitol steps. 

He may not have that much time. Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS), chairman of the Ethics Committee, planned Friday to introduce a privileged resolution, backed by ranking member Susan Wild (D-PA) to remove Santos from Congress, Punchbowl News notes. It would be the first such removal since Rep. Jim Trafficant (D-OH) was convicted in 2002 of bribery, tax evasion and other crimes.

Note: An earlier resolution to remove Santos backed by fellow New York Republicans in the House had the support of just 24 GOP congress members. If all 213 Democrats back Guest’s resolution, it needs at least 77 Republicans. 

Given Santos’ fervent support for ex-President Trump and his House minions, it’s in the interest of those minions to keep him in his seat. If Santos is removed, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) could afford to lose only three Republicans to pass legislation.

•••

Tuberville Christmas – Republican senators are “laying the groundwork” to vote before Christmas for a Democratic-drafted resolution to change the Senate’s rules and circumvent Sen. Tommy Tuberville’s (R-AL) hold on more than 400 military nominees, The Hill reports. Defense hawk Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), who otherwise like Tuberville is a Trump ally, said he would be ready to vote for the bill, which would allow Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) to confirm the military promotions as a bloc.

--Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

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THURSDAY 11/16/23

UPDATE: Santos announced shortly after release of the scathing House Ethics Committee report he will not run for re-election next year (The Hill).

Ethics v. Santos -- The House Ethics Committee handed over a 55-page report to the Justice Department that finds "substantial evidence" that Rep. George Santos (R-NY) violated federal criminal laws. The report says freshman congressman Santos spent campaign funds on Botox treatments and lavish Atlantic City trips with his husband. It also details efforts to obscure his money trail and that he sought to build a "fictional" financial narrative on official records. The report "almost certainly" will trigger another expulsion attempt, according to Politico.

•••

Just in Time, Senate Passes CR – Or you could call Wednesday’s 87-11 Senate passage of the House’s Continuing Resolution early, in that it prevents government shutdown Friday. The bill now goes to President Biden’s desk for his signature, but the CR does not include additional funding for Israel or Ukraine. Sen. Chris Coons (D-DE) told NPR’s Morning Edition there is bi-partisan support in the Senate and House to pass a separate bill for Israel and Ukraine after Thanksgiving. According to Roll Call the Senate Armed Services Committee’s ranking member, Roger Wicker (R-MS) won a commitment Wednesday to vote on sending the annual defense policy bill to a formal conference with the House.

•••

Biden Meets With Xi – President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jingping have agreed to resume military-to-military contact at their first in-person meeting in a year in Woodside, California Wednesday, ahead of an annual summit of Asian leaders in San Francisco.

“As a lot of you press know who follow this, that’s been cut off, and it’s been worri … worrisome,” Biden said in a press conference following the meeting. “That’s how accidents happen; misunderstandings. So, we’re back to direct, open, clear, direct communications on a … direct basis.”

Biden also announced Xi has agreed to a crackdown on precursor chemicals and pill presses used to process fentanyl and fentanyl chemical ingredients flowing from China to the West, “which are being shipped without controls.”

“We’re taking action to significantly reduce the flow of precursor chemicals and pill presses from China to the Western Hemisphere,” Biden said. “It’s going to save lives, and I appreciate President Xi’s commitment on this issue.”

--TL

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WEDNESDAY 11/15/23

Government Stays Open, For Now – Will Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) survive his “clean” two-step Continuing Resolution (CR), passed by the House Tuesday by 336-95 vote (per NPR)? The oppo came from two Democrats, Reps. Jake Auchincloss (MA) and Mike Quigley (IL) and 93 Republicans, including Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida, who was one of eight who voted to take away Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s (R-CA) gavel.

“Everybody gets a mulligan,” Gaetz, who was among the 93, explained (per The Hill). 

“He’s had two weeks to pass it. His predecessor had since January, and then he jammed us up against the September 30 deadline,” agreed Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN), another of the eight who voted to remove Johnson’s predecessor.

The CR extends four appropriations bills – Military Construction and Veterans Affairs, Transportation and Housing and Urban Development, Agriculture and Energy & Water – to January 19, and the remaining eight bills to February 2. 

The “clean” part of the bill is that it doesn’t include deep spending cuts or provisions for a southern border crackdown. It also does not include funding for Israel or Ukraine, both of which are likely to be in the Senate’s version of the CR expected in time to keep the government open past Friday.

Saving Speaker Johnson: In a CNBC interview Tuesday, Johnson reiterated his support for Donald J. Trump and endorsed him for president for 2024. He also has the backing of “Christian Nation” advocates, who were represented in the January 6th Capitol insurrection. That may be enough to prevent Republican Congress members from invoking a motion to vacate when the appropriations bills face expiration again early next year.

If it’s not enough, House Democrats will likely enjoy watching the House GOP caucus collapse into chaos again.

--Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

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MONDAY 11/13/23

ICYMI Dept: Trump's Second-Term Dictatorship

By Todd Lassa

Donald J. Trump did everything he could to tear up the Constitution in his first term, including desperate attempts to procure a concurrent second term. The Washington Post last week outlined in an expose how “Trump and his allies plan to use a second term to wrest control of and politicize the Justice Department to target his political foes.” The analysis piece, by Aaron Blake, notes this is “hardly the first evidence of the plans for a consolidation of power and a more authoritarian second term.”

“Authoritarianism” does not go quite as far as “dictatorship,” but a potential dictatorship is what it is. So notes Dan Froomkin, editor of Press Watch, which on its front page at presswatchers.org offers readers the chance to “Read the full transcript of (Trump’s) fraud-trial testimony.” If the authoritarianism isn’t enough, this transcript offers insight into how unhinged Trump is.

Froomkin told WNYC’s On the Media that “elite journalists in our top institutions lack the vocabulary and the mechanics necessary to accurately cover Trump right now.” Responsible media outlets that endeavor to present straight news objectively – among them, WaPoThe New York TimesThe Wall Street Journal, CNN, CBS News, ABC News and NBC News. They are mired by covering him with “false equivalency,” as if there is a counterpoint to authoritarianism. [It should be noted that CNN’s new CEO, Mark Thompson, told staffers on his first day at the office not to be “distracted by complicated arguments about balance or whataboutism or false equivalency.”]

Trump is no Vladimir Putin, dictatorship-wise, though as told by sources to WaPo his second term would be in the same class as Hungary’s Viktor Orban, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Poland’s recently defeated Andrzey Duda. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has been working on consolidating his power by kneecapping Israel’s judiciary, also could be included in this discussion.

This is what Trump and his loyal enablers have planned for 2025, according to WaPo:

Use the Justice Department for political purposes. (Including prosecution of his former allies such as Bill Barr, who did much of Trump’s bidding as attorney general until Christmas 2020, just before the Capitol insurrection.)

Purge the government and install loyalists.

Consolidate power in the presidency.

Pardon January 6 insurrectionists.

Crack down harder on immigrants, with extraordinary tools.

On that last point, the NYT reported Sunday that Trump plans an “extreme expansion” of his first-term crackdown on immigrants, “including preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled.”

This would destroy our democracy. All Trump needs next November is his MAGA core, roughly one-third of the electorate, plus a substantial share of swing voters and a majority of mainstream Republicans cowed by the threat coming from Trump’s power grab – or maybe no more than a handful of election officials in swing states who are willing to do his bidding.

-30-

R-Col. HED: Who Are Trump’s Potential Spoilers?

Seven Republicans want to spoil Trump’s huge lead in the polls for the GOP’s 2024 presidential nomination. Of the five among those who qualified for last week’s debate, the former president’s former United Nations ambassador, Nikki Haley, now appears to lead the race for second place.

Another of the five, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, is the only one of seven Republican presidential candidates who has openly declared himself a Trump spoiler. So far, he has not done much more than take about 5% of poll standings from the other challengers.

Then there’s Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the formerly Democratic challenger to President Biden for the nomination who withdrew his challenge to go independent. Having gone indy, Kennedy as an anti-vaxxer would seem to appeal to the considerable conspiracy theory contingent of MAGA. He may also appeal to those mythical voters who claim they backed Barack Obama before they backed Donald J. Trump.

Your thoughts: …are most welcome for posting in these columns. If you’re pro-MAGA or a never-Trumper conservative, please post your comments in this column, or email editors@thehustings.news … if you chose the latter, please indicate your political leanings (right/left, Republican/Democratic, conservative/liberal, etc.) in the subject line.

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COMMENTS?: email editors@thehustings.news

GOP presidential candidate and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley would pull out of the UN’s Human Rights Council, she told the eponymous host of Fox News’ Hannity Wednesday evening, where she also vowed to “defund the United Nations as much as possible” if elected next November (per Mediaite). Haley, who served as UN ambassador in the Trump administration and previously was South Carolina governor, pointed to the UN’s decision to appoint Iran as the 2023 chair of its Human Rights Council Social Forum. She said as president, she would not pull the U.S. out of the UN completely.

“If I become president, we will get out of the Human Rights Council. We would certainly not get back into the Paris Climate Agreement.”

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Scott Suspends Presidential Campaign

Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), suddenly dropped out of his race for the GOP presidential nomination late Sunday, apparently leaving campaign staff unaware.

“I think the voters, who are the most remarkable people on the planet, have been really clear they are telling me, ‘not now, Tim,’” Scott told the host of Fox News’ Sunday Night in America with Trey Gowdy. Gowdy himself is a former Republican congressman from South Carolina who wrote a book with Scott, The Hill notes.

Scott’s suspension “leaves his own staff floored” by exiting the 2024 race “without notice,” according to Fox News’ website. Six candidates challenging runaway frontrunner Donald J. Trump remain, four of whom with Scott attended a debate in Miami last week.

•••

Who Are Trump's Potential Spoilers?

Seven Republicans want to spoil Trump’s huge lead in the polls for the GOP’s 2024 presidential nomination. Of the five among those who qualified for last week’s debate, the former president’s former United Nations ambassador, Nikki Haley, now appears to lead the race for second place.

Another of the five, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, is the only one of seven Republican presidential candidates who has openly declared himself a Trump spoiler. So far, he has not done much more than take about 5% of poll standings from the other challengers.

Then there’s Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the formerly Democratic challenger to President Biden for the nomination who withdrew his challenge to go independent. Having gone indy, Kennedy as an anti-vaxxer would seem to appeal to the considerable conspiracy theory contingent of MAGA. He may also appeal to those mythical voters who claim they backed Barack Obama before they backed Donald J. Trump.

Your thoughts: …are most welcome for posting in these columns. If you’re pro-MAGA or a never-Trumper conservative, please post your comments in this column, or email editors@thehustings.news … if you chose the latter, please indicate your political leanings (right/left, Republican/Democratic, conservative/liberal, etc.) in the subject line.

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Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, of West Virginia announced Thursday he will not run for re-election in 2024, threatening his party’s thin majority in the Senate while also potentially becoming a third-party spoiler in next year’s presidential election.

“After months of deliberation and long conversation with my family, I believe in my heart of hearts that I have accomplished what I set out to do for West Virginia. I have made one of the toughest decisions of my life and decided that I will not be running for re-election to the United States Senate,” Manchin announced in a video on X. https://twitter.com/Sen_JoeManchin/status/1722698734910210420

“But,” he continued, “what I will be doing is traveling the country and speaking out to see if there is an interest to mobilize the middle and bring people together.”

Note that he does not have much of a youth advantage over either major party candidate. At 76, Machin is a year younger than Trump and three years younger than Biden.

Democratic counterpoint: After the announcement, “Democrats said they had hopes of expanding the map to Texas and Florida” to retain a Senate majority, The Washington Post reports, as West Virginia voters almost certainly will replace Manchin with a Republican. Sens. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Rick Scott (R-FL) both are also up for re-election next year. 

Who’s spoiling whom?: It’s too early to say whether Manchin might siphon more votes from President Biden or from presumed GOP nominee Donald J. Trump.

But wait, there’s more: Jill Stein, the physician and activist who first ran for president in 2012, then again in 2016 with the Green Party has announced another third-party run for next year (USA Today). 

Stein’s ’16 vote totals in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin were big enough to give Trump the Electoral College wins in the three states, and it seems clear she would likely grab votes from Biden in ’24. About the time of her ’16 run, Stein was connected to Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin. According to Accidental Czar – The Life and Lies of Vladimir Putin, a graphic bio by Andrew S. Weiss and Brian “Box” Brown, Stein “attended the 2015 RT (Russian Television) birthday gala dinner and sat at the same head table with Putin and Mike Flynn.”

--TL

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Axelrod Calls on Biden to Drop Campaign

On March 31, 1968, President Lyndon Baines Johnson spoke on national television to say he would not seek, nor would he accept, his Democratic Party’s nomination for president that November. It did not work out for the party, whose nominee, Vice President Hubert Humphrey, lost to Richard Nixon. But the point is that based on that timeline, President Joe Biden has a bit more than four months to drop his re-election campaign.

Former Obama political strategist David Axelrod wants Biden to reconsider, now, whether to run for re-election. “What he needs to decide is whether that is wise,” Axelrod wrote on X (per Axios).

Comment on the latest news and issues in the appropriate section in this column, or email editors@thehustings.news and let us know whether you lean left or right in the subject line.

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