WARNING: The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the July Consumer Price Index Tuesday morning, August 12, without the chief administrator fired by President Trump after a dismal July jobs report and severe downgrading of May and June numbers. 

Watch the middle column for the latest CPI and then look to the left and right columns for commentary. 

Scroll down with the trackbar on the right to read “Who is the Real Radical?” in the right column by Pundit-at-Large Stephen Macaulay, and “The Language of Immigration Shapes Perception” by contributing pundit Jerry Lanson. 

Then weigh in with comments of your own. The Hustings always welcomes civil comments on all current political issues. Email your COMMENTS to editors@thehustings.news and please indicate your political leanings in the subject line, irrespective of your position on a specific issue, so that we may post your comments in the proper column.  –Editors

_____
MONDAY 8/11/25

Where Were You on 1/6? -- President Trump placed Washington, D.C. under federal control Monday, saying he would take charge of the Washington, D.C. Metropolitan Police Department and deploy "several hundred" National Guard, citing high crime rates, The New York Times reports. Though Trump has long wanted control of the District, the recent, failed carjacking of a former DOGE employee apparently triggered this response. Officials say crime in Washington is at a 30-year low. (Above: A lingering remnant of the decades-long effort to make the District a US state.)

MONDAY 8/11/25

UPDATE: President Trump has agreed to join a virtual emergency summit Wednesday ahead of his Alaska meeting with Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin over a potential ceasefire agreement for Ukraine, Politico reports. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for the emergency summit to discuss pressure options on the Kremlin, questions about Ukrainian territories seized by Russia, security guarantees for Kyiv and for potential peace talks after the meeting in Alaska, German government spokespersons told Politico.

This follows a demand Monday by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk that Ukraine must be included in any peace talks ahead of Friday’s US-Russia meeting, according to Polskie Radio.

•••

Seward’s Folly Revisited? – It’s confirmed. President Trump will meet with Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin Friday in Alaska this Friday to discuss a ceasefire in Ukraine. Trump said Friday that the parties are “very close” to an agreement to stop the war in Ukraine – without apparent input from Ukraine – that would entail “swapping” of territories “some back, some switched … to the betterment of both,” according to NPR’s Morning Edition.

Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has not been invited to Friday’s Alaska summit. At least, not yet.

Vice President Vance told Fox News Sunday Morning Futures; “One of the most important logjams is that Vladimir Putin said that he would never sit down with Zelenskyy. We’re at a point now where we’re trying to figure out, frankly, scheduling and things like that around when these three leaders could sit down and discuss an end to this conflict.”

Meanwhile… The Kyiv Independent reports that White House special envoy Steve Witkoff’s three-hour meeting with Putin last week discussed the possibility of reaching an air truce without ending the war. The Independent’s Sunday news show called this a concession “in the right direction, if Putin is willing to uphold.” 

According to that report, Putin has been discussing a “land swap,” a vague term that’s not the same as territorial concessions.

•••

IDF Kills Al Jazeera Journalists in Gaza – Funerals are being held for five Al Jazeera journalists of seven killed in what Al Jazeera calls a deliberate attack by the Israeli Defense Force. The Israeli government says that the Pulitzer Prize-winning Al Jazeera journalist Anas al-Sharif, killed in the attack, was a member of Hamas.

“We have no information whatsoever about him being part of even governmental bodies in Gaza,” Al Jazeera Managing Editor Mohammed Moawad told BBC Radio 4’s World at One. “He was a journalist, he continued to be a journalist – he was just trying to convey the message of the people on the ground.”

Beside al-Sharif, the IDF strike killed another Al Jazeera correspondent, three camera operators and a freelance reporter. 

Al Jazeera called the attack a “targeted assassination” and “yet another blatant and premeditated attack on press freedom,” the BBC reports.

Meanwhile … Australia will recognize a Palestinian state when the United Nations meets in September, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has announced (per the BBC).   –Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

_____
MONDAY 8/11/25

In which a contributing pundit on the right responds to left-column contributing pundit Jerry Lanson’s “The Language of Immigration Shapes Perception”:

Jerry Lanson’s personal story and opinion on US immigration laws was a solid argument to change legal immigration numbers. It is … and has been … a debate Americans have had for decades. If border security was taken seriously by all those who take an oath to live by and “uphold the laws of the United States” and if “carrots” were not dangled in front of those who would like to immigrate to this country illegally, Congress would find it easier to compromise on needed immigration reform and numbers. If the same cycle of rewarding illegal aliens with benefits and extending hope for amnesty without consequences continues, don’t expect the American people and Congress to agree on changing US immigration law. –Rich Corbett

_____
MONDAY 8/11/25

Commentary by Jerry Lanson

Words matter. They shape the way we think about people born elsewhere, especially if they crossed into this country without proper papers.

For as long as I can remember, these immigrants have been referred to widely as “illegal aliens.” Today, the Trump Administration regularly uses the term even for those living, working and studying in this country legally.

In the last week, The Boston Globe wrote about a Jamaican-born seasonal police officer at Old Orchard Beach in Maine who was arrested by Immigration and Customs Enforcement and shipped to the Plymouth Country Correctional Facility in Massachusetts though his working papers in this country extended to 2030 and The Washington Post and other outlets told of a 20-year-old, Korean-born Purdue University student, the daughter of an Episcopal priest. She was abducted from a New York City immigration courthouse where she had gone to renew her visa and shipped to a Louisiana ICE detention center. She was released five days later after nationwide outrage led by the faith-based community.

ICE officials referred to both as “illegal aliens.”

Whomever the term is applied to conveys the message that these people are (a) criminals and (b) from another planet, or at least strange and different.

In fact, the overwhelming majority of immigrants, documented and undocumented, are neither.

Most often even those entering the country without documents are ordinary and sometimes courageous people -- husbands and wives, mothers and fathers seeking better lives in the United States, often fleeing oppressive governments, wars or gangs that make it difficult and dangerous for them to stay in their countries of origin. They and their children face threats, violence and extortion.

Any amateur student of history knows that sometimes immigrants have no choice but to flee their countries of birth. Their lives are on the line. Think of Europe in the 1930s. Look back at your own family members, wherever they came from, and ask yourself whether any of your descendants came here because they had no choice.

My father was fortunate to enter this country legally from England through Ellis Island early in 1937. His uncle already lived in this country and could sponsor him. But he certainly did not flee Germany “legally.” Though baptized a Lutheran, he was culturally 100 percent Jewish. He recognized his life in Nazi Germany would soon be in peril (his father died of a heart attack, the day after Adolph Hitler was appointed German chancellor in early 1933).

So one day in the summer of 1935, my dad took a hike with a non-Jewish girlfriend in the hills along along the Czechoslovakian border. At the summit, she hiked back into Germany. My dad hiked into Czechoslovakia. In his shoes were thousands of dollars, his own money but inheritance he would have been forbidden to take out of Germany.

What’s my point?

When Gunther Lichtenstein, who years later would become Gunther Lanson, hiked into Czechoslovakia, he clearly was an undocumented immigrant – a so-called “illegal alien.” So were tens of thousands of others who fled the Nazi extermination camp machine to countries bordering Germany, seeking to make their way by land and sea to safety.

Would those of you who use the term “illegal aliens” to describe those who come to this country, often to flee oppression, have scorned people like my dad? I doubt it. Should today’s immigrants follow the murky letter of our immigration laws even if leaves them as prey for dictatorships, terrorists and gangsters in home countries from Afghanistan to El Salvador?

It is true that there are millions of undocumented people in this country. Some have lived here since childhood, uncertain how to change their status. Are they illegal? Aliens? Or contributing members of our society?

ICE’s own data show that nearly three of four immigrants being abducted by our government from worksites, the street, their cars and their homes have never been convicted of any crime, not even the most minor ones. Some have lived in this country for decades. When jailed or deported by this administration, they leave behind children, many of them birthright citizens, some who’ve served in the military, are working or are enrolled in college.

When my father arrived in the United States, legally but after a journey that began with an “illegal” escape into Czechoslovakia, he still had some of the money that was in his shoes when he hiked out of Nazi Germany.

In New York City, he used this money to pay his bills while earning a dollar or two a day as an usher in a movie theater, where, watching movies over and over again, he gained greater mastery of the English language. He married an American girl, served as a master sergeant in the US Army, raised two sons, opened a printing business and, later, worked as director of sales promotion for an international lighting company.

He retired from Long Island to Vermont, where he chaired his local planning board, started a chess club and opened a local travel agency with a business partner. When heavy rains flooded the Connecticut River over its banks, inundating those living in low-lying areas, my mom and dad invited long-time locals to stay on their hilly property until the water receded.

Imperfections and all, Gunther Lanson lived the quintessential American immigrant story. He certainly was no “alien.” He was part and parcel of every community in which he lived as are many who come today from Latin America, Cape Verde, Haiti, Syria, Afghanistan and elsewhere. 

They live as our neighbors. They care for our elderly, our yards and gardens, our homes and more. They start businesses and, given the opportunity, often thrive.

Undocumented, no doubt, some are. But please, don’t call them illegal. Don’t call them aliens. Don’t make them different. We are lucky to have them in our communities.

This commentary first appeared in Lanson’s Substack, From the Grassroots.

_____
WEDNESDAY 8/6/25

Tariffs On -- A dozen Democratic-led states and five small US businesses have challenged the Trump tariffs in court, arguing that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not cover the president's tariffs, and that authority over setting them rests with Congress (per USA Today). The case ultimately is headed for the US Supreme Court. Scroll down this column for details.

FRIDAY 8/8/25

UKRAINE CEASEFIRE UPDATE: President Trump says he will host Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin in Alaska next Friday, August 15, to discuss/negotiate a ceasefire deal over Russia’s war in Ukraine, NPR reports. There is no indication that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy nor anyone else from Ukraine’s government have been asked to participate. This follows a report in The Wall Street Journal that Putin told the Trump Russia will agree to a ceasefire if Ukraine hands over the Donbas region – the eastern portion of the country. European and Ukrainian officials were told of Putin’s demands by special envoy Steve Witkoff this week, according to the WSJ report. But the European and Ukrainian officials fear Putin is using the offer as a ploy to avoid new US sanctions and tariffs while continuing the war (a kind of “well, duh” explanation).

•••

Israel to Occupy Gaza City – The Israel government’s cabinet Friday voted to capture Gaza City and then hand it over to “Arab forces that will govern it properly without threatening us,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a statement Thursday. Netanyahu had always said Israel needed one more military maneuver to complete its defeat of Hamas, according to The New York Times.

Netanyahu’s government has called for establishment of a civil government in Gaza “that is neither Hamas nor the Palestinian authority,” NPR’s Morning Edition reports.

Meanwhile, Hamas warned Israel Friday that its government’s takeover of Gaza City amounts to “sacrificing” the remaining hostages still in Palestinian territory, The Guardian reports.

The Israeli cabinets move may be one maneuver too far, bringing yet another extension of the war, begun with Hamas’ terrorist attack on Israel October 7, 2023, in order to preserve Netanyahu’s grip on power. Israel’s army already is depleted, according to the NYT report, fewer reservists are showing up for duty and the stock of munitions and spare parts is beginning to dwindle.

According to The Guardian, Chancellor Friedrich Merz says Germany has stopped exports of military equipment that could be used in the Gaza Strip until further notice. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has called on Israel to reconsider its plan and urged release of remaining hostages, plus immediate delivery of humanitarian aid to Gaza.

Egypt and Qatar are said to be mediating a framework to include release of hostages both dead and alive all at once, end of the war and withdrawal of Israeli forces from the strip, two anonymous Arab officials told The Associated Press.

•••

Against the Constitution – President Trump has ordered a “new and highly accurate CENSUS” via his Truth Social, Politico reports. There has never been a full US census conducted mid-decade before, nor has there been a census that has excluded non-citizens. The Constitution mandates that all residents of the US, regardless of citizenship, be counted in the census every 10 years.

“People who are in our country illegally will NOT BE COUNTED IN THE CENSUS,” Trump Truth Socialed. 

Trump had tried to add a citizenship question during his first term for the 2020 census since used to determine the number of House seats in each state and help direct federal, state and local funding. The Supreme Court struck down the citizenship question in 2019 over procedural grounds.

•••

Deadline is Here – President Trump’s accelerated deadline to push Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin to reach a ceasefire with Ukraine is here, with no indication of any economic sanctions to be imposed on Russia (other than a 50% tariff against India for its oil purchases). Trump is expected to meet with Putin, possibly in Moscow next week, although there are no details so far and no requirement that Putin meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ahead of said talks. --TL

_____________________________________________

THURSDAY 8/7/25

It's Tariff Thursday – Tariffs of 10% to 50% kicked in after midnight on about 90 countries. Your Brazilian-sourced cup of coffee could soon cost 50% more because President Trump feels simpatico with alleged Brazilian coup-plotter/former President Jair Bolsonaro. Trump also has threatened 100% tariffs on computer chipmakers unless they commit to some US production, MPR’s Marketplace reports.

The Trump White House can claim success in procuring some chipmaking in the US, thanks to the CHIPS Act passed during the Biden administration to assure some level of supply chain security after shortages suffered during the COVID pandemic. 

India’s 50% … Like Brazil, India is hit with a 50% political-pressure tariff by the Trump administration. India’s problem, in the Trump administration’s assessment, is that it’s propping up Russia’s war machine just as the White House is trying to broker a ceasefire deal between Ukraine and Trump’s erstwhile friend, Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin.

According to Marketplace, India purchased more than $47 billion worth of oil from Russia in 2024. With his authoritarian leanings, Prime Minister Narendra Moti, also has been considered an ally/friend of Trump. But Moti is resolute in sticking with Russia for its oil trade.

“I know I will have to pay a heavy price for it, but I am ready,” Moti said.

•••

Trump to Kremlin – President Trump plans to visit Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin in Moscow next week, The New York Times reports, with the goal of ending Russia’s war in Ukraine. It is not clear at this point whether Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also will be present.

But the expected summit comes after US special envoy Steve Witkoff made progress this week in pushing Russia and Ukraine closer to a ceasefire agreement. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Larry Kudlow, host of Fox Business’ Kudlow that Witkoff returned from the Kremlin with a better idea of conditions Putin considers necessary to end the war. 

Art of the Ceasefire … “If there is a deal to end the war, the president is going to have to come in at the end and close it,” Rubio told Kudlow. 

Rubio said both countries would have to concede some Ukrainian territory in the agreement, likely entailing Ukraine’s Crimea, which Putin claimed after Russia’s invasion there in 2014. Putin also expects Trump to concede to keeping Ukraine out of NATO and prevent further expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. 

Trump’s closing of the deal is double-edged.

“Putin wants to keep Trump as a resource for a possible transition to peace. Trump is needed to achieve Putin’s conditions,” pro-Kremlin analyst Sergei Markov told the NYT. --TL

_____________________________________________

...meanwhile...

WEDNESDAY 8/6/25

Two notable anniversaries:

•President Lyndon Baines Johnson signs the Voting Rights Act in the Capitol Rotunda, August 6, 1965.

•On August 6, 1945, the US drops an atom bomb on Hiroshima, Japan.

Will Putin Cave This Time? – As Russia continues to ramp up attacks on Ukraine in its 3½ year-old war, US Envoy Steve Witkoff has arrived in Moscow to meet with dictator/President Vladimir Putin ahead of President Trump’s Friday deadline for a ceasefire, The Wall Street Journal reports. Trump shortened his 50-day period following an apparent fallout with Putin to 10 days for reaching a ceasefire agreement under threat of “crippling new sanctions” against Russia, mostly targeting Russian oil customers China and India.

•••

Texas Democratic Exodus Update – Republican Gov. Greg Abbott has asked the Texas Supreme Court to remove Democratic Houston Rep. Gene Wu, chairman of the Democratic Caucus, from office, The Texas Tribune reports. Wu over the weekend led an exodus of at least 50 Democratic state representatives to New York State, Chicago and elsewhere to prevent a quorum in the state legislature before voting on a redistricting map that would give President Trump five more Republicans in the US House of Representatives after next year’s midterms. 

Democratic governors in New York, Illinois and California are considering special mid-decade gerrymandering of their own to counteract the potential Texas gerrymandering.

Democrats say the state legislation came directly from Trump’s White House, while Fox News accuses favorite boogeyman George Soros, and former Texas state legislator Beto O’Rourke of funding the exodus. 

•••

No More COVID Vaccine – Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. cancelled nearly $500 million in mNRA vaccine contracts Tuesday, The New York Times reports. First used for the COVID-19 pandemic, the mNRA vaccine shoots a fragment of the virus into the body to set off an immune response.

In May, HHS cancelled a $600 million contract with Moderna that would develop a bird flu vaccine.  – Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

_____
WEDNESDAY 8/6/25

Commentary by Stephen Macaulay

Donald Trump sent letters on July 31 to 17 of the leading pharmaceutical companies in which he tells them, in no uncertain terms, that they must lower prescription drug prices in the US, stating that if they “refuse to step up, we will deploy every tool in our arsenal to protect American families from continued abusive drug pricing practices.”

In the text he pointed out there was a May 12 Executive Order, “Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients,” which has the objective of stopping “global freeloading.” Which sounds good, but which is not the case.

While it is true that “brand name drug prices are up to three times higher on average than elsewhere for the identical medicines,” arguably there is a reason why this is the case in many instances in places like the European Union and Canada:

The governments negotiate prices.

Discussion. Bargaining. Compromise.

While the two words rhyme, their meaning is not the same:

Dictate/Negotiate

Throughout his campaign as well as during his time in office, Trump has railed against the “leftist, radical, extremist” etc. people who happen to be in the Democratic Party.

Yet here he is (not unlike his telling corporations that they should absorb the cost of tariffs), taking a page from the Communist Playbook.

In the dictates of communist ideology, there is the abolition of the profit motive, which is a fundamental part of capitalism.

There is centralized — as in “government” — economic planning: the State decides, for example, what prices are.

And there is no free-market competition. The State decides.

There is no discussion, bargaining or compromise. There is a dictate handed down from on high.

Should there be any resistance, then “every tool in our arsenal” will be used to crush the resistance.

I don’t like having to pay higher prices for prescription drugs more than anyone else. But I also understand there are things like market forces that need to be considered.

If the State decides how much drugs should cost — and let’s face it, the State probably doesn’t have the slightest idea of how much the cost associated with the drugs are (from the costs of development and testing through production and distribution, especially now that is evidently thinks that professionals are overrated) — then there is little incentive for pharmaceutical companies to create new drugs. How is that going to work out when the next pandemic arises?

And where does this control stop?

Should Trump be able to dictate the prices of everything, from gasoline to fast food, from toys to candy?

Liberals have always been in favor of the government playing a big role in the economy while conservatives want limited government and free market forces.

So where is the Republican Party, the ostensible conservatives, when it comes to pushing back on what is clearly a case of Statism?

Trump has signed some 180 Executive Orders which, in effect, supersede the authority of Congress to write laws. 

Similarly, although Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution says “The Congress shall have Power to lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises” — which includes tariffs — the President has essentially taken over, claiming in many cases that it is based on “national security,” which makes you wonder how a Kia minivan imported from South Korea poses a military threat.

Again, where are all the congressional free-market people?

Lower drug prices seems a good idea — until the President decides that for whatever whim higher prices (say, by imposing a tariff on places like Switzerland, where several pharmaceuticals are made) are a better idea.

Yes, this is radical, leftist policy coming out of the White House.

Makes AOC and Bernie look like pikers.

Macaulay is pundit-at-large for The Hustings.

_____
WEDNESDDAY 8/6/25

What will tariffs have wrought on the US economy? 

What are your thoughts on President Trump’s firing US Bureau of Labor Statistics chief Erika McEntarfer after a dismal jobs report (and downward revision of two previous months’ job growth) Friday?

Can we trust future BLS numbers, which include the monthly Consumer Price Index report, from a chief hand-picked by Trump? (The July CPI report will be released Tuesday, August 12.)

Last week we ran a debate centered on the US economy circa late July, under the headline, “Fed Resists Trump Economy’s Charms” in the center column. 

Contributing pundit Rich Corbett’s commentary, “America is Back, Baby!” is in the right column.  

Pundit-at-Large Stephen Macaulay’s commentary, “Just Wait” is in the left column. (Macaulay returns to the right column this week with “The Numbers.”)

We invite you to comment on any or all of the above, including which pundit’s column is aging better, via email to editors@thehustings.news. Please indicate in the subject line whether you lean left or right (irrespective of your opinion on a single issue) so that we may post your comments in the proper column.  --Editors

_____
MONDAY 8/4/25

TUESDAY 8/5/25

House Arrest for Bolsonaro – Brazil’s supreme court has ordered house arrest for the country’s Trumpy ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, who is on trial for an alleged coup plot to remain in office after his 2022 re-election defeat, The Associated Press reports. Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who is overseeing the case, said Bolsonaro had spread content through his three lawmaker sons, thus violating precautionary measures imposed on the former president.

Coffee talk … Thanks to the simpatico between President Trump and Bolsonaro, Trump has set the tariff on Brazil – which imports most of the coffee beans the US consumes – at 50%. The US already has a trade surplus with Brazil.

•••

Will Israel Annex Parts of Gaza? – As Canada, the UK and France prepare to recognize a Palestinian state in September amidst piling evidence that the Israeli Defense Force is starving citizens in Gaza in its fight against Hamas, the Israeli government has “floated” the possibility of extending its military offensive and annexing parts of the strip, The Guardian reports. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is set to convene Israel’s security cabinet in the coming days to discuss options.

This follows collapse of indirect ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas led by US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff last Saturday.

•••

Harm Reduction Redacted – The Trump administration is quickly phasing out “harm reduction,” the key method for states, localities and communities to respond to the drug overdose epidemic, according to Roll Call. In the past week, the administration began removing educational materials from government websites, and the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration told states that harm reduction is used to “advocate for policies that are incompatible with federal laws and inconsistent with this administration’s policies.”

Trump in July issued an executive order targeting homeless people that criticizes “harm reduction” and “safe consumption” efforts. --TL

_____________________________________________

MONDAY 8/4/25

Messing With Texas – President Trump called on the Texas legislature, which consists of 88 Republicans and 62 Democrats, to redraw US House districts in order to add five Republicans to the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms. State House Republicans obeyed and were to begin voting on a new map Monday in a special session that Republican Gov. Greg Abbott called in order to take up measures regarding the deadly Independence Day Hill Country floods, stiffer regulations for hemp and other GOP-leaning issues. 

On Sunday, at least 51 of those 62 state House Democrats fled Texas, mostly for Chicago (where Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker has been one of the more effective Democrats pushing back against Trump’s politics and policies), as well as New York, NPR and Houston Public Media reports on Morning Edition

The Texas House does not have a quorum and thus cannot conduct business if fewer than 100 of its members are present, according to The Texas Tribune

“This is not a decision we make lightly, but it is one we make with absolute moral clarity,” state Rep. Gene Wu, chair of the House Democratic Caucus said in a statement. Wu, according to the Tribune, accused Abbott of “using an intentionally racist map to steal the voice of millions of Black and Latino Texans, all to execute a corrupt political deal.”

Abbott issued an ominous statement of his own.

“The truancy ends now,” the Texas governor said. “The derelict Democratic House members must return to Texas and be in attendance when the House reconvenes at 3:00 PM on Monday, August 4, 2025. For any member who fails to do so, I will invoke Texas Attorney General Opinion No. KP-0382 to remove the missing Democrats from membership in the Texas House.”

Abbott would then appoint his own Republican replacements for the missing Democrats, HPM reports.

As of Monday, two weeks remain in Abbott’s special session.

•••

Drowning the Numbers – The Trump Camp including such supporters as our own right-column contributing pundit Rich Corbett were caught in celebration over a “booming” economy unhurt by White House tariff negotiations when, inconveniently, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest numbers showing just 73,000 jobs added to the economy in July. What’s worse, the BLS revised heavily downward by 258,000 jobs combined its earlier reports for May and June, to just 19,000 and 14,000 jobs added, respectively.

The unemployment rate remains low, at 4.2%.

It must be noted here that the BLS often makes such revisions upward as well as downward. The May and June revisions indicate a lag in counting the effects of the “Liberation Day” tariffs, April 2, which Trump delayed numerous times as he reportedly negotiated deals. These are ongoing. 

Trump took it out on BLS administrator Erika McEntarfer, a Biden appointee.

“I believe the numbers were phony, just like before the election. And there were other times” President Trump Truth Socialed Friday, according to RealClear Politics.

The BLS reported the US economy added just 114,000 jobs in July 2024 and a healthier 142,000 for that August. September 2024’s job report was stronger, with 254,000 added, but for October 2024, the US economy added just 12,000 jobs according to a report issued that November 4 – the day before election day.

“So you know what I did?” Trump continued on Truth Social. “I fired her. And you know what? I did the right thing.

“She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified. Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, and they can’t be manipulated for political purposes,” Trump said.

Ironically … These poor employment growth numbers would have given Trump appointees to the Federal Open Market Committee, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, a better argument for lowering interest rates at the Federal Reserve’s regular confab two days earlier. Both dissented against the 10 others on the FOMC by calling for a quarter-point cut in interest rates, in line with Trump’s criticism of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s reluctance to do so.

Waller, who has made clear his interest in replacing Powell as Fed chair when Powell’s term ends next May said on July 17, according to the New York Post, “the economy is still growing, but its momentum has slowed significantly, and the risks to the FOMC’s employment market have increased.”  --Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

_____
MONDAY 8/4/25

Commentary by Stephen Macaulay

Let’s take a look at what kind of a job that the Trump Administration is doing when it comes to helping out the American consumer at the grocery store.

As you will recall, he claimed that he was going to drive prices way down.

Or, in his inimitable words:

“I won on the border, and I won on groceries. Very simple word, groceries. Like almost—you know, who uses the word? I started using the word—the groceries. When you buy apples, when you buy bacon, when you buy eggs, they would double and triple the price over a short period of time, and I won an election based on that. We’re going to bring those prices way down.”

(Who knew that he made the words “the groceries” popular?)

This review is a bit tricky because it uses figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and we know what President Trump thinks about numbers from the BLS. . .or, at least, some of the numbers.

To make a fair comparison, we’ll look at the prices in June 2021, when Biden was in office for a few months, and June 2025, when it was (and is) Trump’s economy.

Apples are not listed, so we’ll have to use bananas and navel oranges, per pound.

  • Bananas:     2021: $0.60           2025: $0.65
  • Oranges:      2021: $1.35           2025: $1.63

Bacon is not listed, but chicken and ground chuck beef are, with prices per pound.

  • Chicken:      2021: $1.47           2025: $2.09
  • Beef:           2021: $4.57           2025: $6.10

And then there’s milk, per gallon:

  • Milk:           2021: $3.56           2025: $4.03

Clearly, when American consumers go to the market to buy the groceries they are spending more across the board than they were before Trump was going to “bring those prices way down.”

An increasing number of grocery stores have gasoline stations on their lots.

As you will recall, during the campaign he repeatedly claimed that if elected he would get the price of gas under $2.00 per gallon. In May he said on “Meet the Press”: “I have it down to $1.98 in many states right now.” 

A slight problem with that is there wasn’t $1.98 gas in any states.

So let’s go back to the June 2021 and June 2025 comparisons and see how gas prices are doing per gallon. These numbers come from the Energy Information Agency. 

  • 6/7/21:       $3.128
  • 6/14/21:     $3.161
  • 6/21/21:     $3.153
  • 6/28/21:     $3.185

That was Biden.

Here’s Trump:

  • 6/2/25:       $3.256
  • 6/9/25:       $3.235
  • 6/16/25:     $3.365
  • 6/23/25:     $3.338
  • 6/30/25:     $3.288

So not only was gas less expensive under Biden, but Trump’s prices are 46% higher than that $2.00 per gallon he was talking about.

He can bloviate all he wants. He can fire the heads of agencies. He can create diversions of all types.

Sooner or later these prices are going to catch up with him.

And remember this: In May he was responding to criticism of tariffs by saying: “Maybe children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, and maybe those two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more.”

Come the holiday season, when the tariffs really kick in and prices across the board rise for everything from cars to coffee, “a couple bucks more” is going to be a whole lot of money for regular working Americans—you know, the kind of people who voted Trump.

Macaulay is pundit-at-large for The Hustings.

_____
MONDAY 8/4/25

Commentary By Stephen Macaulay

One thing that seems not to have happened, at least not in any major way, is the economy hasn’t gone on tilt since Liberation Day.

Of course, there are a few things to consider.

First of all, given the on-again/off-again nature of the tariffs for various countries, it has been difficult for businesses to figure out their pricing strategy going forward.

But this not to say that the tariffs aren’t having a negative effect on consumers’ pocketbooks.

You may have noticed stories about people who are rushing to buy their Christmas gifts. This is a whole other sort of “Christmas in July” — one predicated on people realizing going forward those toys and clothing are going to be considerably more expensive.

This buy-ahead phenomenon is making it seem that things are more robust than they are, or will be.

Those going into a Ford dealership to buy a Bronco Sport, Maverick or Mustang Mach-E today will find themselves paying several hundred dollars more — up to $2,000 — for one of those vehicles today than pre-Liberation Day.

Why? Because they are built in Mexico, which was just fine because of the USMCA that the Trump administration signed the first time to level the playing field. Somehow that no longer holds.

Its cross-town rival, General Motors, announced that in Q2 — meaning the inclusion of Liberation Day — it lost $1.1 billion because of tariffs. And it anticipates before the year is out there will be several billion added in red ink.

Why does that matter? Well, when the company loses billions of dollars, it has to find that money somewhere, and it will find at least some of it by raising prices.

And let’s add the other company that used to be in the “Big Three,” Stellantis, which has in its North American portfolio Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep and Ram. The international company announced its first half net revenues, €74.3 billion, which is down 13% compared to the first half of 2024.

Notably, the company estimates the “2025 net tariff impact to approximately €1.5 billion, of which €0.3 billion was incurred in H1 2025.”

In other words, a fraction was in the first half. The second is going to be seriously not good.

That is reflected in a statement from The Conference Board which says “the bulk of the economic weakness would likely affect Q4 and early 2026, later than we previously anticipated.”

It isn’t here entirely quite yet. But get ready.

Going back to autos, according to a statement by Charlie Chesbrough, senior economist at Cox Automotive, on July 28, things in the auto industry aren’t’ going particularly well: “And there’s no reason to believe trends are improving from here. We are seeing more tariffed products replacing existing inventory, and costs are trending higher. As those higher costs trickle through to retail, sales will likely soften in the coming months unless the economic direction improves.”

If a company is selling fewer cars, then it needs to make fewer cars. If it is making fewer cars, then it needs fewer people to build them.

While the unemployment rate is at a good level now, 4.1%, it is worth noting that according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics the number was a much better 3.5% in July 2023. It will be interesting to watch that figure in the second half when the tariffs really hit.

And while the University of Michigan survey on consumer confidence has the number rising to 61.8 points in July, up from 60.7 points in June, a year ago in July the number was at 66.4 points. If we take October 2024 as being the last month that can be ascribed to the Biden Administration, the number was 70.5 points. So again, while consumers are getting more confident than they were in April and May 2025 (both 52.2 points), they are a lot less confident now than they were a year ago.

According to a recent CBS News YouGov poll (and it is surprising that CBS let these numbers out, given the $16 million it paid to a lawsuit filed by the president):

  • 60% of US adults disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy
  • 64% disapprove of the way he is handling inflation
  • 59% think the national economy is fairly bad (33%) or very bad (26%)
  • 55% think the economy is getting worse

And realize this is before the tariffs really kick in.

Somehow I am mystified about the “Golden Age” ahead.

Macaulay is pundit-at-large for The Hustingswhere he writes primarily – though clearly not always – as a conservative for the right column.

_____
THURSDAY 7/31/25

By Todd Lassa

After he announced interest rates would remain unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5% Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in the traditional post-meeting press conference called the policy “moderately restrictive.” The Fed will be surveying the effects of President Trump’s tariffs on inflation and unemployment closely for the next two months on the way to the Federal Open Market Committee’s next review of interest rates in September.

“We’re seeing now substantial amounts of tariff revenue” coming into the federal government, of $30 billion per month, Powell said. While that would mitigate a small amount of the deficit hike from the One Big Beautiful tax and spending bill for the coming fiscal year, consumers and business are paying for it. 

Powell offered the Trump administration no appeasement here. Pushed by reporters whether the FOMC was planning, expecting the cut in rates that the president has been demanding pretty much since his first administration, the Fed chair replied that the committee does not make decisions in advance.

After all, Powell, whom Trump calls “Too Late,” the president’s kindest epithet for the Fed chair, leads a committee of 12 who set rates. This dozen determined to keep inflation low and employment high consists of seven governors on the central bank’s board and five of 12 regional bank presidents who vote on a rotating business.

On Wednesday, 10 committee members voted to keep interest rates unchanged while two on the board of governors voted for a quarter-point reduction (to 4%-4.5%). This was the first time since 1993 that two members of the board of governors dissented. They are Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, The Wall Street Journal reports, both appointed by Trump 45 and both now the lead candidates to replace Powell when his term ends next May.

Waller has been open publicly about his desire to become Trump’s choice for the next Fed chair, NPR’s Morning Edition reports.

Powell told the press conference economic fundamentals look good, with moderate growth, low unemployment but with wage growth moderation, and eased inflation. But there has been a slowdown in consumer spending, the housing market remains weak and that inflation rate remains “somewhat elevated.”

The Fed had been raising interest rates through much of the Biden administration to bring down inflation elevated from the COVID pandemic. The Fed had managed a “soft landing” by reducing inflation while maintaining good hiring levels.

Now it’s Trump’s economy again and he wants to credibly claim the best in the nation’s history. 

But the inflation rate had remained stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target by about 0.4 points before ticking up to 2.7% last month, largely attributable to the tariffs. Real Gross Domestic Product rose 3% year-over-year in the second quarter after an 0.5% drop in the first quarter, but that was largely because of a shift from a trade deficit to a trade surplus. 

If President Trump wants the Fed to consider a rate cut when the FOMC meets again in September, he may want to settle final tariff rates for all the trade partners. We are still far from knowing where the tariffs will settle down, Powell said, with “many uncertainties left to resolve.”

NOTE on this debate: We have but three columns. Pundit-at-Large Stephen Macaulay writes most often from a conservative perspective for the right column. This time, his column is on the left, in response to contributing pundit Rich Corbett’s column in support for President Trump’s economy.

_____
THURSDAY 7/31/25

Commentary by Rich Corbett

Over the past six months, President Trump and his administration have delivered an economic resurgence that defies the gloomy predictions of economists, mainstream media and the so-called experts. With a robust economy and a thriving capital market, the administration’s policies are turning skeptics into believers. 

Since taking office, Trump’s focus on deregulation, tax cuts, and America-first policies has fueled unprecedented growth. Unemployment is at historic lows, small businesses are booming and consumer confidence is soaring. The capital markets have responded with record-breaking rallies, shrugging off the doomsday forecasts that dominated headlines. This isn’t just data — it’s a testament to leadership that makes the American people the priority over political narratives.

The Wall Street Journal’s recent poll on economic sentiment tells the story loud and clear. In July 2025, a notable percentage of Americans — higher than any point since November 2021 — said they think the economy is positive. Compared to previous polls during the Biden administration back in 2022, 2023 and 2024, the upward trend is undeniable. This marks a significant shift from the pessimism under Biden or Trump’s tariffs announcement, reflects a growing trust in the direction of the economy. The naysayers’ propaganda is losing its grip as public perception shifts when it comes to President Trump and his polices on the economy.

The stock market has been an even brighter spot, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 hitting new highs, driven by investor confidence in Trump’s pro-business agenda. This surge contradicts the mainstream media’s relentless negativity, which predicted economic collapse. Instead, we’re witnessing a market that thrives on stability and optimism. This is proof that the American spirit, led by strong leadership, prevails. Who knows, there might even be a few extra dollars from the tariffs to start paying down our national debt and/or a rebate check for Americans who need it most?

Six months in, the Trump administration has laid a foundation for sustained prosperity. As the WSJ poll shows, more Americans are recognizing this reality every day. The era of fake news and economic doom-saying is fading, replaced by a renewed faith in a stronger, wealthier America.

Corbett covers myriad issues at My Desultory Blog.

_____
THURSDAY 7/31/25

Commentary by Jerry Lanson

Donald Trump often can twist, shred and shed the truth as readily as Harry Houdini twisted and shed padlocked chains.

Throughout his life he’s used lies and deflection to wriggle out from under political pressure and legal charges, large and small, just as Houdini mesmerized audiences with his skill at wriggling out of shackles.

In his act, Trump has profited from disengaged and alienated voters alike, often distracting them by accusing those investigating him with precisely the same kinds of misconduct he’s alleged to have committed.

And for most of his life, through two impeachments, through a lost election he still insists he won, and through investigations and indictments surrounding the January 6, 2020 riots at the US capitol, these maneuvers have worked.

But now, as he passes the six-month mark of a second presidency that has turned this country and its values upside down, Trump’s lies seem to be growing so extreme and his behavior so erratic that even some ardent MAGA supporters are beginning to question him.

For two weeks, Trump has tried relentlessly, even desperately, to turn the page on Jeffrey Epstein, the financier and former friend who hung himself in jail awaiting trial on charges of trafficking teen-age girls for sex. The president’s about-face has shocked Trump supporters who for years have drunk at the trough of rightwing conspiracy theorists who have told them the “Deep State” suppressed evidence of Epstein’s ties to rich and famous Democrats.

The Trump Administration just weeks ago was promising to reveal Epstein’s secrets once and for all. Then, abruptly on July 10, Attorney General Pam Bondi announced the Epstein case was closed, that there was nothing more to be said about it. The investigation, she said, had turned up nothing worth releasing, a line Trump repeated multiple times in the days that followed, as he’s strained to change the subject. He’s tried many things.

Over the weekend, for example, he sent out a scree of social media posts that The Atlantic’s Charlie Warzel called “alarming, even by his [Trump’s] standards.” Among his 33 Sunday posts was an AI generated video of former President Barack Obama being arrested in the Oval Office and video snippets of wild scenes such as a woman catching a charging cobra with her bare hands.

On Tuesday, two weeks after signing legislation that will slash 10 million people from Medicaid roles in the next decade, he vowed he would reduce drug prices to a tenth or less of their current costs, Mediate reported in an article reposted on Politicalwire.com. This would be lower than the cost of manufacturing them.

And at a Tuesday reception with Congressmen, Trump reportedly claimed that the Epstein scandal, which he called a “made up hoax,” had led to a remarkable boost in his polling numbers, giving him “the best numbers I’ve ever had,” Mediate reported.

For all his bravado, however, the master at mendacity seems to be struggling in his effort to shed the story. Trump’s real poll numbers appear to be declining at a steady and possibly an accelerating pace. And, as Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson raced to get out of town for summer recess to quell growing Congressional dissent about Epstein, a subcommittee of the House Committee on Oversight Wednesday cast an 8-2 bipartisan vote to subpoena the Department of Justice for its files on Epstein’s sex trafficking investigation, the AP reported.

Trump’s biggest gambit to change the narrative could well come following the Thursday-Friday meeting between Justice Department officials and convicted Epstein associate Ghislaine Maxwell in Tallahassee, Florida, ostensibly to hear “new evidence,” the New York Post reports. It most assuredly won’t be about the president.

But just what this all means remains really murky. Epstein died six years ago, his death in jail ruled a suicide. Though The Wall Street Journal Wednesday reported that Bondi’s Justice Department had informed Trump that his name appeared “multiple times” in the Epstein investigation file, that news does not explain why Trump has labored so persistently and awkwardly to shut the story down. He’s long been known to be Epstein’s former friend and associate.

What is clear is that Trump’s polling numbers are falling.

Most remarkable have been two polls released this week reporting a seismic shift in young voters’ perceptions. Prior to the election, Trump was making significant inroads with this group.

Now a recent YouGov poll shows Trump’s net approval among Gen Z voters has dropped from roughly even to -40 percentage points, according to a tweet reposted on Politicalwire.

A CBS News poll that appeared on the site Tuesday showed an even bigger drop in support among voters between 18 and 29. It said that while Trump had a 10% favorable rating among these voters in February, the same age group now disapproves of him 72% to 28% – well over two to one.

Polls of all voters show increasing disenchantment with Trump’s performance on all issues, including those that fueled his campaign, such as immigration and inflation. His aggregate poll numbers are now lower than at any point in his second term.

Still, it is too early to know whether Trump will once again wriggle out of his problems.

In fact, it’s not entirely possible to rule out that the media and political frenzy over Epstein wasn’t hatched as one more diversion from the real pain Trump and his henchmen have inflicted with cuts in Medicaid, education, and science and health research, and with his administration’s vicious crackdown on immigrants.

Groups actively resisting the administration, such as Indivisible, are urging supporters to be ever-vigilant of Trump’s growing disregard of the Constitution and the rule of law. They’re encouraging members to reach out to neighbors and acquaintances to expand their ranks and grow their peaceful protests. 

Their concern is well-founded. A cornered Donald Trump often gets wilder. In the past week alone, he’s called for criminal investigations of Obama and his administration; of Schiff, who led the first impeachment hearing; of former FBI Director Jim Comey and of others.

Trump’s rapidly growing ICE army continues to spread chaos through workplaces, farms and immigrant communities, typically hauling in those with no criminal record. A headline in the Boston Globe Magazine this week reads, “’I want daddy.’ As ICE detains parents, children are left behind.”

Ultimately, however, the fate of Trump’s presidency may not lie with the resistance but with Trump’s success or failure in either deflecting attention from the Jeffrey Epstein files or making those files stick to someone else.

Though six years have passed since Epstein died in prison, something about the case, for whatever reason, clearly makes Trump uncomfortable. And that’s led the news media, Democrats and growing numbers of Republicans to talk about little else.

This column first appeared on Lanson’s SubstackFrom the Grassroots.

_____
FRIDAY 7/25/25

Real Gross Domestic Product grew at an annual rate of 3% in the first quarter of the year, which appears to be really good news for President Trump and his Independence Day last April 2. This follows a drop in Real GDP of 0.5% for the first quarter. The big jump in Q2 reflects a decrease in imports coming into the US, which the Bureau of Economic Analysis counts as a subtraction in its GDP calculation formula. In other words, this drop in imports added to GDP growth. Consumer spending also jumped up in Q2 (perhaps a rush to purchase goods imported in Q1?), contributing to the growth, the BEA says. Last quarter’s growth was also partially offset by a decrease in investment and exports.

•••

UK to Recognize Palestinian State – As images of starving children in Gaza stun world leaders including President Trump, UK Prime Minister Kier Starmer announced Tuesday his country will join France in recognizing a Palestinian state by September if there is no Israeli-Hamas ceasefire or starvation relief by then (per The New York Times). France made its announcement it would recognize a Palestinian state, at the United Nations General Assembly last week. 

Starmer made his remarks after concluding his meeting in Scotland with Trump, who said he is not taking a position in the matter.

“I don’t mind him taking a position. I’m looking to getting people fed right now. That’s the number one position, because you have a lot of starving people,” Trump said.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not budge, saying Starmer is rewarding “Hamas’ monstrous terrorism,” reports the UK’s Independent.

However, Netanyahu’s hardline position on Palestine has reignited opposition in his own country. 

“This government led us from the most justified war in the world to a diplomatic disaster,” opposition leader Yair Lapid wrote in a Hebrew-language tweet, reports The Times of Israel. “One failure after another. A prime minister who has vanished from the diplomatic arena, a useless foreign minister and ministers who endanger [Israeli Defense Force] soldiers every time they open their mouths.”

•••

Step to SCOTUS? – The Senate has confirmed by 50-49 vote former personal attorney to Donald J. Trump and Justice Department official since January, Emil Bove (pictured), to a lifetime appointment as US Circuit Court judge for the Third Circuit, serving Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and the Virgin Islands, Roll Call reports. This despite a whistleblower allegation he defied court orders that would stop planned deportations of undocumented aliens.

Bove also dropped a corruption case against Eric Adams of New York City over the Democratic mayor’s support of Trump’s immigration policies.

The vote came after Democratic senators gave floor speeches arguing Bove was not fit for a lifetime appointment to the court. 

Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Susan Collins (R-ME) joined Democrats voting against Bove’s confirmation, according to the Roll Call report. 

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL), called Bove’s nomination “an alarming departure” from Trump 45’s nominees. 

“Mr. Bove’s primary qualification appears to be his blind loyalty to this president,” Durbin said.

But Bove’s appointment to the Third Circuit may not last his lifetime. There is much speculation that Bove (who is either 43 or 44, according to Wikipedia) is Trump’s next nominee to the US Supreme Court. 

On Tuesday, Time magazine reported that White House officials and a “close circle” of conservative attorneys are preparing for Trump’s next SCOTUS appointee. Trump has three-and-a-half years left in his term. Makeup of the Senate after next year’s midterms could potentially alter that timeline.

SCOTUS’ three Democratic president appointees will not step down voluntarily before 2029, so that leaves Chief Justice John Roberts, 70, and Associate Justices Clarence Thomas, 77, and Samuel Alito, 75. --TL

_____________________________________________

Trump in Scotland

TUESDAY 7/29/25

Genocide? – Death toll in Gaza has topped 60,000, the Hamas-run health ministry reports, according to HaaretzThe Times of London reports Tuesday that Palestinian activist Odeh Hadalin, who appeared in last year’s Oscar-winning documentary, No Other Land was killed in his West Bank village, “apparently after being shot by an Israeli settler.”

This comes as outrage continues to build against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Israeli government as it disputes myriad reports that its military is causing starvation of Palestinians in Gaza. 

Appearing with UK Prime Minister Kier Starmer in Turnberry, Scotland, Monday, President Trump said that he has seen “real starvation” in Gaza on television and that the US will set up “food centers” there.

There is “no starvation in Gaza,” Netanyahu maintains.

But Sen. Angus King (I-ME) says he will oppose “any” support for Israel so long as there is a hunger crisis in Gaza, The Hill reports.

I cannot defend the indefensible,” King said on his website. “Israel’s actions in the conduct of the war in Gaza, especially its failure to address the unimaginable humanitarian crisis now unfolding, is an affront to human decency. What appears to be a deliberately-induced famine among a civilian population — including tens of thousands of starving children — can never be an acceptable military strategy.

“While clearly justified in responding to the horrific attack by Hamas on innocent Israeli citizens, that tragic event cannot in turn justify the enormous toll on Palestinian civilians caused by Israel’s relentless bombing campaign and its indifference to the current plight of those trapped in what’s left of Gaza.”

•••

Trump and Epstein and Maxwell – Three days after meeting with Deputy Attorney Gen. Todd Blanche in Florida, Ghislaine Maxwell has filed an appeal with the US Supreme Court to overturn her 2020 conviction for engaging in sex trafficking minors for Jeffrey Epstein, per Axios. A longtime companion of Epstein, Maxwell, who is serving 20 years in a federal prison says she was unlawfully prosecuted in the case. 

At an earlier press conference in Scotland Trump said he is "allowed" as president to pardon Maxwell for her sex trafficking conviction.

No island for auld friend … Fresh off his press conference with European Union Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, President Trump faced Scottish reporters in Turnberry who dogged him about the Epstein case. Trump explained his break-up with Epstein way back in 2004 and how he avoided any trips to Epstein’s private islands thusly – from The New York Times and video of The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, Monday:

“That’s such old history. Very easy to explain. But I don’t want to waste your time by explaining it.

“For years, I wouldn’t talk to Jeffrey Epstein. He did something that was inappropriate. He hired help. And I said, ‘don’t do that again.’ He stole people that worked for me. And I threw him out of the place. Persona non grata

“By the way, I never went to the island. And Bill Clinton went there, supposedly, uh, 28 times. I never had the privilege of going to his island. And, uh, I did turn it down.”

Epstein owned Little St. James and Great St. James islands in the Caribbean, according to the NYT, which reported a response from an aide to Bill Clinton, Monday, who said it has been 20 years since the former president had contact with Epstein – about the same cut-off date between Epstein and Trump.

•••

‘Cage Match’ – Key architect of Project 2025 Paul Dans says he plans to launch a campaign to challenge Sen. Lindsey Graham’s Republican primary in South Carolina next year, The Washington Post reports. 

“This is ultimately a steel-cage match for the future of MAGA,” Dans says. --TL

_____________________________________________

It Could Have Been Worse

MONDAY 7/28/25

Deal With the EU – President Trump and European Union Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reached a deal in Turnberry, Scotland, over the weekend for a 15% baseline tariff on goods coming to the US, with 0% on US goods heading eastbound. Von der Leyen said the tariffs will apply chiefly to cars and other items, according to The Wall Street Journal, which helpfully lays out details as we know them about the deal, which will not be finalized before the Trump White House’s August 1 – Friday – deadline:

Exemptions with zero tariffs would apply to some “strategic” equipment such as aircraft and semiconductor equipment.

The EU will buy $750 billion worth of US energy products (instead of Russian gas and oil) with “significant purchases of US LNG (liquid natural gas), oil and nuclear fuels, over a three-year span (the WSJ buried this at the end of its synopsis, so take that for what you think it means).

EU officials say tariffs would be cut for some US imports, including some farms and industrial goods, though not immediately.

EU officials believe tariffs for drugs and computer chips will be capped at 15%, while Trump’s decision on global pharmaceuticals (largely made in Europe) “are on a different sheet of paper,” according to van der Leyen.

Trump indicated his 50% tariff on global steel and aluminum “will be cut,” with a new quota system. 

The EU agreed to invest $600 billion in the US, according to Trump, though EU officials say that’s an assessment of European companies’ investment plans and not public initiatives – so as with much of foreign investment in the US previously announced by Trump, this is private investment already planned.

The EU will buy an unspecified amount of artificial intelligence chips from the US, and according to Trump “a vast amount of military equipment.” This is not part of the tariff deal, but part of NATO’s previously announced spending pledge, according to the WSJ.

Hold your applause … Or, at least, muffle it with a golf tournament applause. A separate WSJ headline says, “Companies Welcome EU-US Trade Deal as Least-Bad Outcome.”

The gist of the analysis piece is that it’s better than the 30% base tariff Trump was set to impose on the EU beginning Friday, and the global trade war it would certainly trigger. 

So, aside from that, how did you enjoy the play, Mrs. Lincoln? … “For the EU, today’s agreement is probably almost as good as it could get,” ING Bank economist Carsten Brzeski told the WSJ.

•••

Stop That, Sooner – On July 14, President Trump gave Russian dictator/President Vladimir Putin 50 days to reach a ceasefire with Ukraine upon penalty of economic sanctions. That gave Putin 50 days to increase his attacks on Ukraine so he could claim that much more territory to keep from such a ceasefire agreement. 

In a press conference with UK Prime Minister Kier Starmer Monday Trump said he plans to shorten that 50-day timeline for Russian compliance, The Hill reports.

“I’m going to reduce that 50 days I gave him to a lesser number, because I think I already know the answer to what’s going to happen,” Trump told reporters.

•••

In Memoriam: Tom Lehrer – The erstwhile musical satirist famous for such songs as The Vatican RagA Song for World War III (performed in 1965 by Steve Allen on NBC-TV’s That Was the Week That Was), The Elements, The Wild West Is Where I Want to Be and Poisoning Pigeons in the Park died Saturday at his home in Cambridge, Massachusetts. He was 97.

Lehrer performed his songs live in the 1950s, then again from 1965-67 before leaving the music biz altogether to teach at Harvard, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the University of California, as well as serving a stint on the Atomic Energy Commission. 

His song, Wernher von Braun “celebrated” the Nazi-turned-NASA scientist thusly: “Once the rockets are up, who cares where they come down?/’That’s not my department,’ says Wernher von Braun.”

Lehrer relinquished rights to all his songs, except for melodies that used his words against others’ music, according to his New York Times obituary. Lehrer also announced he would shut down his website, but as of Monday, it was still up and included his eulogy–Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

-30- 

FRIDAY 7/25/25

Blame Canada? – The Federal Communications Commission has approved Paramount’s $8 billion merger with Skydance, days after Paramount announced a $1.5 billion streaming deal with South Park creators Trey Parker and Matt Stone. Chair Brendan Carr said the FCC approved the deal “after reaching assurances from Skydance that the new company would be committed to unbiased journalism and would not establish programs related to diversity, equity and inclusion,” according to The New York TimesSouth Park celebrated with the opener for Season 27 with President Trump begging the devil for sex. But why did the show depict Trump as a Canadian? Is the US aboot to become the 11th province?*

•••

Maxwell Grilled – Deputy Attorney Gen. Todd Blanche convicted sex trafficker Ghislaine Maxwell Thursday in Tallahassee, Florida, where he had planned further questioning of Jeffrey Epstein’s ex-girlfriend Friday. An attorney representing Maxwell, David Oscar Markus, told reporters Thursday’s meeting was a “productive” session, in which Maxwell answered all questions “truthfully, honestly and to the best of her ability,” The Wall Street Journal reports. 

Connecting the dots … Legal analysts find it curious that the Justice Department would send its second-highest ranking attorney to Florida for the interview, rather than a much lower-level staffer. The Hill has reported that Blanche and Markus are old friends. Blanche last year represented Donald J. Trump in his New York criminal trial for falsifying business records in connection with pre-2016 presidential election hush money payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels. Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts.

•••

Meanwhile, in Scotland – President Trump was off to Scotland Friday morning, where he will meet with British Prime Minister Kier Starmer and Scottish First Minister John Swinney, NPR’s Morning Edition reports. Trump will “further refine” his trade deal with the UK on a “working visit” where he also will play a lot of golf. 

The Trump Organization owns two courses in Scotland, with plans to open a third. 

It won’t be all haggis and Diet Coke, though, as extensive protests are expected, just as they were delivered during Trump’s last visit as president to his mother’s homeland, in 2018. 

•••

*Shatner’s Counterproposal – New York magazine’s July 14-27 cover story, “You Have No Idea How Furious the Canadians Are,” says Star Trek’s original Captain Kirk, Canadian-born William Shatner, has been publicly workshopping a counter proposal to President Trump’s “51st state” campaign for our neighbors to the north.

“Canada should say to President Trump, ‘You are the head of a rambunctious country, very difficult to govern at this point,” Shatner tells author Simon van Zuylen-Wood. “We can ease your pain. Canada is calm, settled, successful. Clean air, clean water, pleasant people. Why don’t you become the 11th province?” –Compiled and edited by Todd Lassa

_____
FRIDAY 7/25/25

Commentary by Stephen Macaulay

One of the things that hasn’t gotten the attention it deserves is what even the Trump Administration knows tariffs do: Raise the cost of goods in the country importing them.

So, simply, the price of goods being imported into the US are more expensive for those who are buying them.

Most things that we buy have some intermediary. It’s not like its farm-to-table (you picked it; you cooked it).

You may buy something from General Motors. You may buy something through Amazon.

In both cases, if they are sourcing something from another country (e.g., GM builds trucks in Canada and Mexico, both of which have 25% tariffs; Kindles aren’t made in Seattle, but in places including China, which has a 30% tariff), then their invoice is increased. 

What’s more (actually less) is that the value of the US dollar has been declining consistently since “Liberation Day” in April. There is a measure known as the “US Dollar Index,” which compares the value of the dollar against a basket of currencies. A higher number is better.

So here’s how it is going:

--March: 104.21

--April: 99.47

--May: 99.33

--June: 96.88

--July (so far): 97.48

Down, down, down.

This means that when paying for those imported goods, it costs more dollars today than it did in March.

There is an argument that a weaker dollar is more advantageous for exporters from the US. 

But here’s the thing: US exports haven’t exactly been struggling.

That is, in 2014 the value of US exports was $1.62 trillion. Ten years later, 2024, the number was up to $2.064 trillion.

That’s a 27% increase.

The Administration has consistently argued that the countries of origin are the ones who pay the tariffs.

Which is patently untrue.

To use a hackneyed example: It is just like Mexico was going to pay for the Wall.

It was easy for Trump supporters to believe that fabrication because unless they lived in the neighborhood of the Wall, they really didn’t have a sense of what was or wasn’t being built. (As things turned out, not much of the Wall was new construction. And

Mexico didn’t pay for it.)

More importantly, the Wall claim didn’t have a visible impact on the supporters’ buying power.

Tariffs are different.

There is a 50% tariff on coffee beans from Brazil. The US imports as much as 50% of its coffee from Brazil — because the US isn’t conducive to growing coffee, not because the Brazilian people are “ripping us off!”

Just wait until people start seeing that putting Folgers in their cup is going to get a lot more expensive. And the wait won’t be long.

The Administration — from President Trump to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — have been saying that there is an expectation that US corporations will absorb tariff-associated costs.

Which means that there is an expectation that US corporations will essentially underwrite the tax that tariffs are on the consuming public.

Let’s go back to the coffee example. Walmart, which sells a whole lot of groceries to a whole lot of Americans, has a profit margin on groceries of less than 3%.

What the Administration is saying is that Walmart needs to reduce that margin even further in order to absorb the tariff costs.

Back in May during the Walmart earnings call, CEO Doug McMillon, who quite evidently understands how businesses operate, said, "We will strive to keep our prices as low as possible. However, due to the significant scale of the tariffs . . . we cannot absorb all the pressure given the reality of slim retail margins . . . the elevated tariffs will lead to increased prices.”

It can’t be put any simpler than that.

How much is that jar of coffee going to cost?

What is the alternative to importing coffee? The US mainland isn’t conducive to the crop. This is just how the world works, despite what the Administration would like us to believe.

And while on the subject of buying things at places at Walmart, as kids across the country right now know — and are not particularly happy to know it — this is “Back to School” season.

When I was young my mom took me to a department store and bought me some new shoes and clothes to wear for the forthcoming school year. And all of my classmates, to a greater or lesser degree, evidently had the same experience. 

Here’s this from the latest (July 23) research from The Yale Budget Lab:

“The 2025 tariffs disproportionately affect clothing and textiles, with consumers facing 40% higher shoe prices and 36% higher apparel prices in the short-run. Shoes and apparel prices stay 19% and 17% higher in the long-run respectively.”

Moms across the country are going to have more than a slight surprise when they go “Back to School” shopping.

There is no way that everyday Americans are going to escape the higher prices that the tariffs are putting on the goods that they buy every day.

While bringing back manufacturing to the US is a laudable goal, have you heard any articulation from anyone in the administration how they are going to facilitate this?

If they were serious about bringing back manufacturing there would be a Moon Shot-like series of programs that would help fund the development of industries that will be viable in the years ahead. Instead, all they seem to be doing is trashing green energy technology (does anyone really think that coal is the future of energy?) and eliminating tax incentives and regulations that make it more likely that car companies will not build electric vehicles — which will mean that the US will pretty much be an island of old automotive technology compared to the rest of the world — with the exception of Cuba.

Macaulay is pundit-at-large for The Hustings.

_____
FRIDAY 7/25/25